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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did +39.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+39.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$111.9k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$290.4k
Last 30 days +$0 · $5.27M volume · 8,002 trades · since Jul 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$265.3k
Open P&L · 145 positions
−$529.6k
Closed-position win rate
63%
381 closed
Wallet age · markets
832d
520 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.6 | +39.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 France vs. England: Team to Win | LOW BUY France @ 71¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
 LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs | LOW SELL T1 @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
 Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? | LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ | $26.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xfc0cb8…