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coinlaundry

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 3.2 wins, so it did -6.2 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-6.2 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
3.2
Flagged volume
$759.6k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±18.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$49.5k
Last 30 days +$68.2k · $10.15M volume · 5,295 trades · since Nov 25, 19:00 EST

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$49.5k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
85%
389 closed
Wallet age · markets
333d
384 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports433.2-6.2 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY No @ 81¢ $14.5k81% 2d agoexcluded
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $24.9k91% 2d agocalled
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Packers @ 99.9¢ $14.4k100% 5d agoexcluded
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW BUY Broncos @ 86¢ $16.0k86% 8d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $12.3k0% 8d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ $16.7k100% 8d agoexcluded
Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena OstapenkoLOW BUY Jelena Ostapenko @ 69¢ $17.1k69% 9d agoexcluded
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 93¢ $11.3k93% 9d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $20.4k98% 10d agoexcluded
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra AndreevaLOW BUY Qinwen Zheng @ 93¢ $14.7k93% 12d agoexcluded
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $11.8k92% 16d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91¢ $13.5k91% 16d agocalled
Will England win on 2026-10-06?LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ $12.2k87% 19d agocalled
Steelers vs. BrownsLOW BUY Browns @ 87¢ $21.8k87% 22d agoexcluded
49ers vs. ChargersLOW BUY 49ers @ 85¢ $28.1k85% 64d agoexcluded
Golden Knights vs. DucksLOW BUY Golden Knights @ 90¢ $37.8k
2.4× usual
90% 162d agoexcluded
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?LOW BUY Yes @ 90¢ $26.3k90% 166d agoexcluded
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)LOW BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢ $20.8k82% 170d agomissed
76ers vs. CelticsLOW BUY 76ers @ 98.7¢ $15.0k99% 174d agoexcluded
Lakers vs. RocketsLOW SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 175d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $12.0k0% 182d agoexcluded
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $10.0k0% 183d agoexcluded
Trail Blazers vs. SunsLOW BUY Suns @ 91.4¢ $19.9k91% 192d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.1k0% 236d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW BUY Yes @ 91.6¢ $20.1k92% 236d agoexcluded
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% 236d agoexcluded
Nuggets vs. ThunderLOW BUY Thunder @ 90¢ $11.6k90% 238d agoexcluded
Nets vs. CelticsLOW SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% 238d agoexcluded
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $10.6k0% 238d agoexcluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $11.3k86% 243d agoexcluded
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?MED BUY Yes @ 65¢ $27.4k65% 244d agocalled
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ $47.0k
2.9× usual
100% 268d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $35.9k
2.2× usual
1% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.5¢ $10.0k0% 269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $10.0k1% 270d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ $37.4k
2.3× usual
1% 273d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 98.5¢ $35.2k
2.2× usual
2% 273d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.3¢ $31.7k98% 275d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $13.0k98% 281d agoexcluded
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21?excluded
BUY No @ 81¢$14.5k
LOW coinlaundry · 2d ago
Will Viking FK win on 2026-10-21?called
BUY No @ 91¢$24.9k
LOW coinlaundry · 2d ago
Cowboys vs. Packersexcluded
BUY Packers @ 99.9¢$14.4k
LOW coinlaundry · 5d ago
Seahawks vs. Broncosexcluded
BUY Broncos @ 86¢$16.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 8d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$12.3k
LOW coinlaundry · 8d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 99.5¢$16.7k
LOW coinlaundry · 8d ago
Wuhan Tennis Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Jelena Ostapenkoexcluded
BUY Jelena Ostapenko @ 69¢$17.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 9d ago
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersexcluded
BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 93¢$11.3k
LOW coinlaundry · 9d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 98.5¢$20.4k
LOW coinlaundry · 10d ago
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreevaexcluded
BUY Qinwen Zheng @ 93¢$14.7k
LOW coinlaundry · 12d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?called
BUY No @ 92¢$11.8k
LOW coinlaundry · 16d ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?called
BUY No @ 91¢$13.5k
LOW coinlaundry · 16d ago
Will England win on 2026-10-06?called
BUY Yes @ 87¢$12.2k
LOW coinlaundry · 19d ago
Steelers vs. Brownsexcluded
BUY Browns @ 87¢$21.8k
LOW coinlaundry · 22d ago
49ers vs. Chargersexcluded
BUY 49ers @ 85¢$28.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 64d ago
Golden Knights vs. Ducksexcluded
BUY Golden Knights @ 90¢$37.8k
LOW coinlaundry · 162d ago
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?excluded
BUY Yes @ 90¢$26.3k
LOW coinlaundry · 166d ago
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)missed
BUY Khamzat Chimaev @ 82¢$20.8k
LOW coinlaundry · 170d ago
76ers vs. Celticsexcluded
BUY 76ers @ 98.7¢$15.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 174d ago
Lakers vs. Rocketsexcluded
SELL Lakers @ 99.9¢$20.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 175d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$12.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 182d ago
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 99.8¢$10.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 183d ago
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsexcluded
BUY Suns @ 91.4¢$19.9k
LOW coinlaundry · 192d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$15.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 236d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
BUY Yes @ 91.6¢$20.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 236d ago
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$20.1k
LOW coinlaundry · 236d ago
Nuggets vs. Thunderexcluded
BUY Thunder @ 90¢$11.6k
LOW coinlaundry · 238d ago
Nets vs. Celticsexcluded
SELL Celtics @ 99.9¢$11.6k
LOW coinlaundry · 238d ago
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?excluded
SELL No @ 99.9¢$10.6k
LOW coinlaundry · 238d ago
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?excluded
BUY Yes @ 86¢$11.3k
LOW coinlaundry · 243d ago
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?called
BUY Yes @ 65¢$27.4k
MED coinlaundry · 244d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 99.6¢$47.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 268d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.5¢$35.9k
LOW coinlaundry · 269d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99.5¢$10.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 269d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 99¢$10.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 270d ago
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?excluded
SELL No @ 98.6¢$37.4k
LOW coinlaundry · 273d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
SELL Yes @ 98.5¢$35.2k
LOW coinlaundry · 273d ago
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
BUY Yes @ 98.3¢$31.7k
LOW coinlaundry · 275d ago
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?excluded
BUY No @ 97.5¢$13.0k
LOW coinlaundry · 281d ago

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