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What this means. A wallet put $59.8k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$59.8k
BUY No @ 91.7¢ · 65,263 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet MisterFixel took No (buy) for $59.8k at an average 91.7¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $59.8k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1100American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.7¢
- Implied odds
- 91.7%
- Size
- $59.8k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 09:48 EDT
- Market close
- May 08, 16:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- MisterFixel
- Tx
- 0xe37f3ddc…
This wallet's graded record
1/6-74.8 pts
expected 5.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $138.2k 4.8× usual |
excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $106.5k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $35.2k | excluded |