WhaleGrader Log inSign up
← All weeksShare on X
Weekly report card

Week 2026-42

Oct 12, 00:00 EDT – Oct 18, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
-11.3 pts
Called
47/104
Expected from price
58.7
Std. error
±4.5

In week 2026-42, 104 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 47 times; entry prices implied 58.7. Whales did no better than the price (-11.3 pts). One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports933749.3-13.3 pts
Other11109.4+5.5 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InHIGH BUY Cloud9 @ 83¢ $420.6k
12.5× usual
83% YYYYY9997d agomissed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 61¢ $248.2k61% joseph006779d agomissed
Seahawks vs. BroncosMED BUY Broncos @ 42¢ $210.2k
4.3× usual
42% BreakTheBank PROVEN10d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?MED BUY Yes @ 47¢ $147.3k
3.6× usual
47% gransaaa LOSING10d agomissed
Panthers vs. EaglesMED BUY Eagles @ 40¢ $140.7k
2.9× usual
40% BreakTheBank PROVEN5d agomissed
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?MED BUY Yes @ 49¢ $135.5k
3.2× usual
49% 0x2c33…05639d agocalled
Cowboys vs. PackersMED BUY Cowboys @ 51¢ $112.4k51% taylorsversion5d agomissed
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $111.3k
2.7× usual
51% gransaaa LOSING11d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $98.0k
4.1× usual
49% plonker20269d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?MED BUY Yes @ 45¢ $92.9k
4.3× usual
45% omnibus-076daa PROVEN10d agomissed
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 61¢ $83.5k
3.8× usual
61% Pwaddler11d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ $74.4k48% optimusprime7778799d agomissed
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)MED BUY Cloud9 @ 40¢ $72.8k
2.2× usual
40% YYYYY9997d agomissed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 95.9¢ $67.5k
2.8× usual
96% 0x8b4b…541b PROVEN12d agocalled
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship PlayoffsLOW BUY Team Falcons @ 73¢ $63.9k73% juice-fruit6d agomissed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 39¢ $52.1k39% YYYYY9999d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $45.0k54% SystemeBis10d agocalled
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ $44.2k
2.0× usual
63% Pjosully8d agocalled
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)MED BUY FC Barcelona @ 46¢ $40.6k46% RichieRicher6d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ $40.0k
2.5× usual
63% lfg100k5d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 94¢ $38.5k94% scottilicious PROVEN14d agocalled
Appalachian State vs. Coastal CarolinaMED BUY Coastal Carolina @ 48¢ $38.0k48% bbbetk7d agomissed
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?MED BUY No @ 31¢ $37.4k31% 0x2c33…05638d agomissed
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysMED BUY Tampa Bay Rays @ 60¢ $36.1k60% 0x16bb…849211d agomissed
Celtics vs. 76ersMED BUY 76ers @ 64¢ $35.0k64% Moneyloverman7d agomissed
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos AlcarazMED BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 93¢ $34.2k93% 0F62 PROVEN12d agomissed
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group DLOW BUY MIBR @ 56¢ $32.5k
2.3× usual
56% lllllllIlll9d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ $31.0k49% Pjosully9d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $30.6k68% hfv5d agocalled
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW BUY Seahawks @ 57¢ $30.4k57% BruceWayne778d agomissed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 62¢ $30.0k62% 0xf559…f4629d agomissed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 92¢ $30.0k92% Chelseaone21d agocalled
Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsLOW BUY LOUD @ 55¢ $29.2k55% mbmbbbmbv9d agocalled
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InLOW BUY Cloud9 @ 82¢ $28.5k82% YYYYY9997d agomissed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersMED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 62¢ $26.4k
2.3× usual
62% 24440 NEW9d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 40¢ $26.4k40% TheOpportunist5d agomissed
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?MED BUY Yes @ 49¢ $25.9k49% Jsram PROVEN11d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 90¢ $25.7k90% MisTKy PROVEN15d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?MED BUY No @ 96¢ $25.4k96% MisTKy PROVEN12d agocalled
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Cowboys @ 50¢ $25.0k50% wan1235d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?MED BUY No @ 40¢ $25.0k40% migrodrigues NEW5d agomissed
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.3¢ $24.9k95% LulaVaiPerder12d agocalled
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?LOW BUY No @ 41¢ $24.6k41% gransaaa LOSING9d agomissed
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Packers @ 49¢ $24.5k49% christianox5d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $24.3k50% soccergoat9d agocalled
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Cowboys @ 50¢ $24.0k50% 0xf559…f4625d agomissed
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 71¢ $23.0k71% Zzzz87 PROVEN9d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 34¢ $22.0k34% Jittz5d agomissed
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Milwaukee Brewers @ 39¢ $21.3k39% NS139d agocalled
Panthers vs. EaglesLOW BUY Panthers @ 61¢ $20.4k61% bands18d agocalled
Bills vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 60¢ $20.4k60% THEdirkdiggler16d agomissed
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $20.0k52% 0xf559…f46210d agocalled
Panthers vs. EaglesLOW BUY Eagles @ 40¢ $20.0k40% wan1235d agomissed
Bills vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 62¢ $20.0k62% 0xf559…f46211d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 36¢ $20.0k36% btmx66d agomissed
LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-InLOW BUY Karmine Corp @ 68¢ $19.7k68% YYYYY9998d agocalled
Bills vs. RamsLOW BUY Bills @ 39¢ $19.5k39% BreakTheBank PROVEN11d agocalled
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.9¢ $19.2k96% sdhyky7d agocalled
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Steelers @ 56¢ $19.1k56% btmx66d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $19.0k54% ziyoucui10d agocalled
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 68¢ $18.9k68% kevinmeng12d agocalled
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOW BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 62¢ $18.6k62% JonTay9d agomissed
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLOW BUY HANJIN BRION @ 55¢ $18.4k55% YYYYY9999d agomissed
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 92.7¢ $18.0k93% 0000.12d agomissed
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 89¢ $17.8k89% eCash18d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 38¢ $17.6k38% plonker20266d agomissed
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLOW BUY JD Gaming @ 32¢ $17.5k32% Diabolical-Prize12d agomissed
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW BUY Seahawks @ 57¢ $17.1k57% PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN8d agomissed
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Packers @ 50¢ $17.0k50% BrotherObama PROVEN5d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $17.0k68% 0x2c33…05635d agocalled
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)MED BUY FURIA Esports @ 61¢ $16.2k61% bilibikh NEW7d agocalled
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLOW BUY HANJIN BRION @ 56¢ $16.0k56% BBQChickenisthebesttt9d agomissed
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-InLOW BUY FURIA Esports @ 17¢ $15.1k17% Diabolical-Prize7d agocalled
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Packers @ 51¢ $15.0k51% BrotherObama PROVEN5d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 91.2¢ $15.0k91% carlos48422d agocalled
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 94¢ $14.9k6% Saltyballs13d agomissed
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Jaguars @ 57¢ $14.8k57% btmx66d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ $14.4k48% Woaifacai9d agomissed
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsLOW BUY HANJIN BRION @ 57¢ $14.3k57% joseph006779d agomissed
Cowboys vs. PackersLOW BUY Cowboys @ 52¢ $14.3k52% 0xf559…f4625d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 31¢ $13.9k31% HBAFlover985d agomissed
Bills vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 62¢ $13.8k62% ferrariChampions202611d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ $13.6k68% FeedTheBigBird5d agocalled
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group DLOW BUY MIBR @ 55¢ $13.4k55% lllllllIlll10d agomissed
Jets vs. PatriotsLOW BUY Jets @ 25¢ $12.5k25% wan1235d agomissed
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $12.3k52% ziyoucui10d agocalled
Seahawks vs. BroncosLOW SELL Seahawks @ 56¢ $12.1k44% lanataste8d agocalled
Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)MED BUY FURIA Esports @ 63¢ $11.9k63% bilibikh NEW7d agocalled
Panthers vs. EaglesLOW BUY Panthers @ 51¢ $11.8k51% roldy8d agocalled
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Group DLOW BUY MIBR @ 57¢ $11.4k57% TrippleEX8d agomissed
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?LOW BUY No @ 31¢ $11.2k31% shark1428d agomissed
Steelers vs. BuccaneersLOW BUY Buccaneers @ 44¢ $11.2k44% Pwaddler5d agomissed
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $11.1k50% BruceWayne7710d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 72¢ $11.0k72% lfg100k9d agocalled
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $10.9k95% Votei14Voude2214d agocalled
Texans vs. JaguarsLOW BUY Texans @ 44¢ $10.9k44% 0xf559…f4625d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18?LOW BUY No @ 34¢ $10.7k34% shark1425d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 80¢ $10.5k80% Jsram PROVEN11d agocalled
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $10.4k52% TrippleEX10d agocalled
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ $10.2k51% TrippleEX9d agocalled

The graded brief, free

unsubscribe anytime

Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.