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What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on MIBR, at a price that gave it a 55% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
BUY MIBR @ 55¢ · 24,411 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet lllllllIlll took MIBR (buy) for $13.4k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 55% chance for that side. The market resolved BC.Game Esports, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 55¢ means
55%chance the market gave
−122American odds
$1.00paid per share if MIBR wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 55.0%
- As American odds
- −122 no vig
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Oct 13, 14:08 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 06:00 EDT
- Result
- BC.Game Esports
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lllllllIlll
- Tx
- 0xcc5dbb71…
This wallet's graded record
2/10-32.3 pts
expected 5.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -55 ptsMIBR price · entry 55¢ · resolved BC.Game Esports
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL BC.Game Esports @ 99.9¢ | $47.9k 2.9× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL BC.Game Esports @ 99.9¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL BC.Game Esports @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY BC.Game Esports @ 44¢ | $29.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY MIBR @ 57¢ | $11.4k | missed | |
| LOW BUY BC.Game Esports @ 44¢ | $14.1k | called |