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What this means. A wallet put $420.6k on Cloud9, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.4 pts over 48 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$420.6k
BUY Cloud9 @ 83¢ · 506,791 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1h12.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet YYYYY999 took Cloud9 (buy) for $420.6k at an average 83¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved FURIA Esports, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $420.6k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 83¢ means
83%chance the market gave
−488American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cloud9 wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 83¢
- Implied odds
- 83.0%
- As American odds
- −488 no vig
- Size
- $420.6k
- Placed
- Oct 16, 14:38 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 16, 16:50 EDT
- Result
- FURIA Esports
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- YYYYY999
- Tx
- 0xd7893962…
This wallet's graded record
23/48-3.4 pts
expected 24.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -83 ptsCloud9 price · entry 83¢ · resolved FURIA Esports
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | LOW BUY FURIA Esports @ 99.9¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | MED BUY FURIA Esports @ 61¢ | $168.3k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | LOW BUY Cloud9 @ 41¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | LOW SELL Cloud9 @ 77¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | MED BUY Cloud9 @ 85¢ | $65.1k | excluded |
| LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | MED BUY Cloud9 @ 92¢ | $213.0k 6.3× usual |
excluded |