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What this means. A wallet put $15.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 91% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.0k
BUY No @ 91.2¢ · 16,454 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet carlos484 took No (buy) for $15.0k at an average 91.2¢. At that price the market implied a 91% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 91¢ means
91%chance the market gave
−1032American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.2¢
- Implied odds
- 91.2%
- Size
- $15.0k
- Placed
- Oct 01, 18:53 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- carlos484
- Tx
- 0x0fe95d95…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+7.2 pts
expected 2.6 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $67.0k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.5¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.1¢ | $10.8k | excluded |