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What this means. A wallet put $111.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 51% chance. It lost. This wallet has a losing record: -23.0 pts vs the price over 30 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$111.3k
BUY No @ 51¢ · 219,676 shares in 4 fills
Size ≥ $100k4 fills in 1h2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gransaaa took No (buy) for $111.3k at an average 51¢. At that price the market implied a 51% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $111.3k+2
4 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 51¢ means
51%chance the market gave
−103American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 51¢
- Implied odds
- 50.7%
- As American odds
- −103 no vig
- Size
- $111.3k
- Placed
- Oct 13, 00:41 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 13, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gransaaa
- Tx
- 0x3b84dba1…
This wallet's graded record
8/30-23.0 pts
expected 14.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -51 ptsNo price · entry 51¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.87M | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $10.4k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $50.0k | excluded |