← Wallets
−$85.8kUnder · avg 50¢ → 24¢ · $74.7k · 0 proven with, 1 against−$410Yes · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $42.7k+$328Over · avg 55¢ → 56¢ · $32.3k+$3,561Yes · avg 37¢ → 44¢ · $21.1k−$12.5kOver · avg 45¢ → 25¢ · $15.7k−$52Yes · avg 46¢ → 46¢ · $10.7k+$48No · avg 42¢ → 42¢ · $4,942+$37Over · avg 50¢ → 50¢ · $3,709
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 5 of 8. The prices it paid implied about 3.9 wins, so it did +13.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Without its single best bet: +7.0 pts. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Under · Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
Same side: 0 proven · 0 losing Other side: 1 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
+13.6 pts
Called / graded
5/8
Expected from price
3.9
Flagged volume
$375.3k
Sample size8 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±17.5 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$79k8 graded bets in the order they resolved · 5 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 at 40¢) and the edge is +7.0 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
20–40¢
0% vs 38% · n=1
40–60¢
71% vs 50% · n=7
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$56.5k
Last 30 days −$46.0k · $9.50M volume · 8,332 trades · since Aug 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$2.23M
Open P&L · 145 positions
−$2.32M
Closed-position win rate
99%
142 closed
Wallet age · markets
74d
287 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 8 | 5 | 3.9 | +13.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 50¢ | $23.0k | pending |
 Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-10-23? | LOW BUY No @ 55¢ | $19.6k | called |
 Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $72.4k 2.7× usual |
called |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-22? | MED BUY No @ 44¢ | $36.3k | called |
 FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $20.2k | excluded |
| Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 49¢ | $16.4k | excluded |
| Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $30.8k | called |
| FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 51¢ | $30.9k | missed |
| FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5 | LOW BUY Over @ 40¢ | $15.5k | called |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY No @ 38¢ | $20.0k | missed |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
 Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $40.0k | missed |
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