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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?called
$10.9k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 11,495 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Votei14Voude22 took Yes (buy) for $10.9k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
95¢
Implied odds
95.0%
Size
$10.9k
Placed
Oct 09, 15:25 EDT
Market close
Oct 15, 18:33 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Votei14Voude22
Tx
0x8ff6571b…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+13.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +5 pts
Yes price · entry 95¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 95¢ · $10.9k WHALE $10.9K @ 95¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $19.5k100% AgricultureSecretary8d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ $12.0k99% Votei14Voude2210d agoexcluded
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 95.3¢ $24.9k95% LulaVaiPerder12d agocalled