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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.9k
BUY Yes @ 95.3¢ · 26,128 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet LulaVaiPerder took Yes (buy) for $24.9k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2028American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.3¢
- Implied odds
- 95.3%
- Size
- $24.9k
- Placed
- Oct 11, 14:41 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 18:33 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- LulaVaiPerder
- Tx
- 0xdba4f272…
This wallet's graded record
3/4-16.5 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 95.3¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $10.9k | called |