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What this means. A wallet put $12.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.0k
BUY Yes @ 98.7¢ · 12,158 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Votei14Voude22 took Yes (buy) for $12.0k at an average 98.7¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−7583American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98.7¢
- Implied odds
- 98.7%
- Size
- $12.0k
- Placed
- Oct 13, 21:17 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 15, 18:33 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Votei14Voude22
- Tx
- 0x96f1e3fe…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+13.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsYes price · entry 98.7¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $19.5k | excluded |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95.3¢ | $24.9k | called |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $10.9k | called |