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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.9 wins, so it did -22.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-22.0 pts
Called / graded
2/4
Expected from price
2.9
Flagged volume
$65.7k
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$15.8k
Last 30 days +$6,139 · $486.1k volume · 44 trades · since Oct 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$60.5k
Open P&L · 4 positions
−$44.0k
Closed-position win rate
59%
29 closed
Wallet age · markets
17d
33 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 2 | 2.9 | -22.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | LOW BUY Bilibili Gaming @ 81¢ | $19.9k | missed |
 Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | LOW BUY BC.Game Esports @ 57¢ | $11.4k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs aimclub (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | LOW BUY Betclic Apogee Esports @ 82¢ | $15.5k | called |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | LOW BUY BNK FEARX @ 68¢ | $18.9k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xddf373…