← Wallets
−$85CTBC Flying Oyster · avg 32¢ → 32¢ · $5,355−$1Yes · avg 76¢ → 76¢ · $1,421+$9No · avg 81¢ → 82¢ · $1,420−$13SMU · avg 49¢ → 48¢ · $1,217−$27No · avg 91.5¢ → 89¢ · $1,033 · 1 proven with, 0 against−$84No · avg 85¢ → 78¢ · $872−$5No · avg 77¢ → 76¢ · $831−$1,097No · avg 61¢ → 26¢ · $825
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did +32.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+32.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$67.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±46.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$128.7k
Last 30 days −$111.1k · $9.28M volume · 61,928 trades · since Jan 06, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$461.2k
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$9,504
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
291d
12495 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.7 | +32.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $15.4k | pending |
 Texans vs. Jaguars | LOW BUY Jaguars @ 43¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
 Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $30.6k | called |
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