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soccergoat

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did +50.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?−$1,369Yes · avg 81¢ → 57¢ · $3,350
Price-adjusted edge
+50.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$35.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$19.4k
Last 30 days −$18.0k · $1.45M volume · 514 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
+$7,748
Open P&L · 11 positions
−$18.6k
Closed-position win rate
76%
106 closed
Wallet age · markets
23d
128 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.5+50.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $24.3k50% 9d agocalled
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysLOW SELL Cleveland Guardians @ 99.9¢ $11.3k0% 11d agoexcluded

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