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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
BUY No @ 31¢ · 45,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideSports
What happened
Wallet HBAFlover98 took No (buy) for $13.9k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Oct 18, 07:27 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 18, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- HBAFlover98
- Tx
- 0x446ed85d…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-14.6 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsNo price · entry 31¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $157.3k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $3.03M | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.8k | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $163.1k 3.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $13.6k | called |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 69¢ | $2.08M | called |