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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.6 wins, so it did +15.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+15.0 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.6
Flagged volume
$522.0k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$235.2k
Last 30 days −$211.3k · $3.10M volume · 1,634 trades · since Oct 14, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$117.7k
Open P&L · 90 positions
−$336.2k
Closed-position win rate
74%
174 closed
Wallet age · markets
375d
243 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.6 | +15.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x2c2aba…