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Bills vs. Ramsmissed
What this means. A wallet put $20.4k on Rams, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bills vs. Ramsmissed$20.4k
BUY Rams @ 60¢ · 34,065 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet THEdirkdiggler took Rams (buy) for $20.4k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Rams wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $20.4k
- Placed
- Oct 08, 01:05 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- THEdirkdiggler
- Tx
- 0x4819912b…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-21.7 pts
expected 3.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -60 ptsRams price · entry 60¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED SELL Bills @ 91¢ | $90.3k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 85¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 47¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Rams @ 36¢ | $68.1k | excluded |