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Bills vs. Ramscalled
What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 39% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+12.2 pts over 22 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Bills vs. Ramscalled$19.5k
BUY Bills @ 39¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet BreakTheBank took Bills (buy) for $19.5k at an average 39¢. At that price the market implied a 39% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.5k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 39¢ means
39%chance the market gave
+156American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 39¢
- Implied odds
- 39.0%
- As American odds
- +156 no vig
- Size
- $19.5k
- Placed
- Oct 12, 09:22 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 12, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- BreakTheBank
- Tx
- 0xfb0204be…
This wallet's graded record
12/22+12.2 pts
expected 9.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +61 ptsBills price · entry 39¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.5k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED SELL Bills @ 91¢ | $90.3k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Rams @ 85¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | LOW BUY Bills @ 47¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| Bills vs. Rams | MED BUY Rams @ 36¢ | $68.1k | excluded |