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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -7.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-7.0 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$168.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$251.3k
Last 30 days −$77.6k · $1.42M volume · 308 trades · since Sep 28, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$220.0k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$462.2k
Closed-position win rate
100%
3 closed
Wallet age · markets
26d
8 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -7.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | MED BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $74.4k | missed |
 China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev | MED BUY Novak Djokovic @ 23¢ | $27.6k | excluded |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | LOW BUY Yes @ 66¢ | $66.2k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x922c7c…