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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did -92.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-92.7 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$18.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$48.2k
Last 30 days −$78.7k · $2.16M volume · 646 trades · since Jun 15, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$225.7k
Open P&L · 91 positions
−$368.9k
Closed-position win rate
94%
177 closed
Wallet age · markets
131d
370 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | -92.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 92.7¢ | $18.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x49e026…