← Wallets
−$5Over · avg 41¢ → 40¢ · $405
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 2.3 wins, so it did +17.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+17.3 pts
Called / graded
3/4
Expected from price
2.3
Flagged volume
$2.17M
Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$383.9k
Last 30 days −$286.9k · $26.22M volume · 9,659 trades · since Jun 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$294.6k
Open P&L · 8 positions
+$133.1k
Closed-position win rate
62%
325 closed
Wallet age · markets
129d
304 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 4 | 3 | 2.3 | +17.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $29.3k | pending |
 Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Kayla Day vs Shuai Zhang | MED BUY Shuai Zhang @ 75¢ | $43.1k | excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Guangzhou Open, Qualification: Dayana Yastremska vs Xiaodi You | MED BUY Dayana Yastremska @ 72¢ | $71.4k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Diana Shnaider | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 76¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger | MED BUY Ann Li @ 67¢ | $55.8k | excluded |
 Grizzlies vs. Warriors | MED BUY Warriors @ 61¢ | $144.2k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | LOW BUY Knicks @ 49¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Katarzyna Kawa | LOW SELL Elena Rybakina @ 99.9¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Antonia Ruzic | LOW BUY Antonia Ruzic @ 47¢ | $23.3k | excluded |
| Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Katerina Siniakova | LOW BUY Katerina Siniakova @ 88¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova | LOW SELL Marie Bouzkova @ 99.9¢ | $20.5k | excluded |
| Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Marie Bouzkova | LOW BUY Marie Bouzkova @ 75¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | LOW SELL Thunder @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 47¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
 Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Patriots @ 27¢ | $12.4k | excluded |
 Florence: Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald | LOW BUY Matthew William Donald @ 69¢ | $27.4k | excluded |
| European Open: David Goffin vs Alex Michelsen | LOW BUY Alex Michelsen @ 90¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Sho Shimabukuro | MED BUY Daniil Medvedev @ 91.6¢ | $55.7k | called |
| Ningbo Open: Iva Jovic vs Jasmine Paolini | MED SELL Iva Jovic @ 83¢ | $37.5k | excluded |
| Hornets vs. Nets | LOW BUY Nets @ 40¢ | $16.0k | excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | MED SELL Timberwolves @ 75¢ | $74.6k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | LOW BUY Timberwolves @ 53¢ | $14.5k | excluded |
 FC Bayern München vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 58¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21? | LOW BUY Yes @ 40¢ | $30.4k | called |
| Lyon Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Martin Landaluce | LOW BUY Martin Landaluce @ 64¢ | $37.6k | excluded |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | MED BUY Thunder @ 56¢ | $37.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) | LOW BUY Knicks @ 51¢ | $27.2k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | LOW BUY Yes @ 74¢ | $29.5k | excluded |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | MED SELL Yes @ 67¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Manchester City FC vs. AEK: O/U 6.5 | LOW BUY Under @ 63¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| Cowboys vs. Packers | LOW BUY Cowboys @ 52¢ | $26.0k | excluded |
 LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | LOW SELL Team WE @ 64¢ | $25.1k | excluded |
| LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | LOW BUY Team WE @ 44¢ | $31.2k | called |
 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | MED SELL Milwaukee Brewers @ 83¢ | $43.7k | excluded |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $14.4k | missed |
 England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | MED SELL England @ 75¢ | $45.4k | excluded |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 54¢ | $32.6k | excluded |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance | LOW BUY England @ 51¢ | $42.2k | called |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | LOW BUY Argentina @ 84¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW SELL Yes @ 45¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | LOW BUY Yes @ 29¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | LOW SELL Jordan @ 73¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | LOW BUY Jordan @ 61¢ | $42.7k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 50¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 | MED BUY Under @ 45¢ | $95.1k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | MED SELL England @ 90¢ | $31.4k | excluded |
| Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5 | LOW SELL Over @ 64¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 87¢ | $48.2k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $44.5k | excluded |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 48¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | MED SELL Yes @ 81¢ | $61.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $60.2k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | MED SELL Yes @ 72¢ | $98.3k 3.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | MED BUY Yes @ 46¢ | $155.1k 5.5× usual |
excluded |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 | LOW SELL Under @ 61¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | MED BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $47.0k | excluded |
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