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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.1 wins, so it did -5.8 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-5.8 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.1
Flagged volume
$98.2k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$22.1k
Last 30 days +$20.3k · $1.10M volume · 461 trades · since Jul 27, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$196.5k
Open P&L · 26 positions
−$168.4k
Closed-position win rate
77%
61 closed
Wallet age · markets
88d
88 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.1 | -5.8 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-22? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | MED BUY Yes @ 63¢ | $44.2k 2.0× usual |
called |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | LOW BUY Yes @ 49¢ | $31.0k | missed |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x11dee4…