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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -62.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-62.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.6
Flagged volume
$60.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±48.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$16.8k
Last 30 days −$29.2k · $1.40M volume · 189 trades · since Oct 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$1,142
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
64%
39 closed
Wallet age · markets
13d
69 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | -62.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 76ers vs. Knicks | MED SELL 76ers @ 57¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
 Seahawks vs. Broncos | MED SELL Broncos @ 78¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
 Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | MED BUY Los Angeles Dodgers @ 62¢ | $26.4k 2.3× usual |
missed |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $12.0k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x543f6f…