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What this means. A wallet put $45.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 54% chance. It won. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$45.0k
BUY Yes @ 54¢ · 83,290 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet SystemeBis took Yes (buy) for $45.0k at an average 54¢. At that price the market implied a 54% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $45.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 54¢ means
54%chance the market gave
−117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 54¢
- Implied odds
- 54.0%
- As American odds
- −117 no vig
- Size
- $45.0k
- Placed
- Oct 13, 13:50 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 13, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SystemeBis
- Tx
- 0x965ce2bd…
This wallet's graded record
2/2+40.5 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +46 ptsYes price · entry 54¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.8k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $2.87M | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $10.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.0k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 46¢ | $50.0k | excluded |