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Weekly report card

Week 2026-37

Sep 07, 00:00 EDT – Sep 13, 23:59 EDT · markets that resolved this week

Price-adjusted edge
+2.7 pts
Called
72/125
Expected from price
68.6
Std. error
±4.2

In week 2026-37, 125 graded flags resolved. The flagged side won 72 times; entry prices implied 68.6. Whales beat the price by +2.7 pts. One week is a small sample.

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports1257268.6+2.7 pts

Every graded flag

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?HIGH BUY Yes @ 95¢ $296.4k
11.4× usual
95% 0F62 PROVEN44d agocalled
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenHIGH BUY Alex Michelsen @ 42¢ $288.7k42% totoro3miyazaki45d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ $248.0k
3.0× usual
62% Diabolical-Prize44d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?MED BUY Yes @ 56¢ $224.0k
2.7× usual
56% Diabolical-Prize45d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY No @ 47¢ $217.9k
5.2× usual
47% 0x2c33…056341d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazMED BUY Ben Shelton @ 24¢ $163.1k24% beachboy445d agocalled
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?MED BUY Yes @ 58¢ $162.4k58% lucidarderi44d agocalled
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsMED BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢ $123.7k
3.0× usual
59% Talvez10 PROVEN42d agocalled
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?MED BUY Yes @ 57¢ $114.0k57% raybanman44d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY Yes @ 45¢ $110.2k
2.7× usual
45% gransaaa LOSING41d agocalled
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsMED BUY San Diego Padres @ 58¢ $103.4k
2.1× usual
58% pleaseplease12342d agocalled
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $98.3k54% Di88medes45d agocalled
Spread: Rams (-3.5)MED BUY 49ers @ 49¢ $89.9k49% Kch-Temp PROVEN44d agocalled
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 78¢ $83.2k
3.0× usual
78% degenfren45d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?LOW BUY Yes @ 62¢ $79.1k62% ptrck741d agocalled
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 59¢ $69.9k
3.5× usual
59% 0xf559…f46241d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?MED BUY No @ 47¢ $67.1k47% gransaaa LOSING46d agomissed
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $67.0k47% Di88medes43d agocalled
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovMED BUY Karen Khachanov @ 21¢ $66.4k
3.0× usual
21% 0xwise43d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY No @ 48¢ $62.1k
2.9× usual
48% omnibus-076daa PROVEN43d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazHIGH BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ $55.5k
3.8× usual
23% nigiri99 PROVEN45d agocalled
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de ZandschulpMED BUY Arthur Gea @ 39¢ $51.3k39% 0x2c33…056346d agomissed
Spread: Rams (-3.5)LOW BUY Rams @ 51¢ $51.0k
2.2× usual
51% Feromont43d agomissed
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?MED BUY No @ 54¢ $50.1k54% gransaaa LOSING47d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 78¢ $50.0k
2.5× usual
78% 0xf559…f46245d agomissed
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?LOW BUY No @ 45¢ $49.1k
2.2× usual
45% shark14245d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazMED BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ $45.0k23% 0x709e…66f545d agocalled
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $45.0k45% plonker202640d agocalled
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenMED BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 60¢ $42.8k60% martingaleking45d agocalled
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienMED BUY Learner Tien @ 63¢ $41.6k63% AV23IUa PROVEN47d agomissed
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 43¢ $41.0k43% robban88841d agocalled
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 59¢ $41.0k59% doublerainbowfish40d agocalled
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?MED BUY No @ 51¢ $40.0k51% 1l2ihj34li12u3443d agomissed
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 58¢ $40.0k58% HectorHuang42d agomissed
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 72¢ $39.7k72% omnibus-42477945d agocalled
US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de ZandschulpLOW BUY Arthur Gea @ 39¢ $39.0k39% 0x2c33…056346d agomissed
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $38.7k79% Elenes41d agocalled
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $37.6k56% bardeen45d agocalled
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢ $37.6k47% 0xe4d6…308a43d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY No @ 49¢ $36.8k49% Jsram PROVEN40d agomissed
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 70¢ $35.0k70% 0x2c33…056345d agocalled
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxMED BUY Karen Khachanov @ 63¢ $34.3k63% 0xf559…f46244d agocalled
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 58¢ $33.9k
2.2× usual
58% one8tyfive41d agomissed
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BLOW BUY FaZe @ 60¢ $33.9k60% 0xf559…f46245d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 61¢ $30.5k61% SemyonMarmeladov44d agocalled
49ers vs. RamsMED BUY Rams @ 65¢ $30.0k65% Kosherlocks45d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?MED BUY Yes @ 62¢ $28.7k62% Jsram PROVEN41d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ $28.6k52% BrotherObama PROVEN40d agocalled
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $28.5k46% 0xe4d6…308a43d agocalled
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?MED BUY No @ 45¢ $27.6k45% sbsigner45d agomissed
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsMED BUY San Diego Padres @ 59¢ $27.4k59% omnibus-076daa PROVEN42d agocalled
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW BUY Learner Tien @ 64¢ $27.3k64% degenfren47d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $26.0k86% 0x71ac…d2b142d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ $25.7k95% 0F62 PROVEN46d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY No @ 38¢ $25.5k38% Joey2544d agomissed
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 81¢ $25.0k81% tony191942d agocalled
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $24.9k86% 0x71ac…d2b141d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY No @ 48¢ $24.7k48% 0x2c33…056343d agomissed
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 49¢ $24.5k49% Diabolical-Prize42d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?LOW BUY No @ 38¢ $24.2k38% Jittz41d agomissed
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander BlockxLOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 64¢ $23.6k64% AssuredAdverts44d agocalled
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ALOW BUY MIBR @ 50¢ $23.2k50% t19846d agocalled
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 58¢ $23.0k58% ferrariChampions202641d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 60¢ $22.7k60% vrsd44d agocalled
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?MED BUY No @ 17¢ $22.3k17% jtwyslljy40d agomissed
49ers vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 65¢ $22.0k65% jknio43d agomissed
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 50¢ $21.8k50% gransaaa LOSING41d agocalled
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen KhachanovLOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 80¢ $21.6k80% fastball6743d agocalled
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 50¢ $21.4k50% StasPanda44d agomissed
49ers vs. RamsLOW BUY 49ers @ 35¢ $21.2k35% Kch-Temp PROVEN44d agocalled
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 57¢ $20.5k57% gmpm241d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 78¢ $20.0k78% Cuco8447d agomissed
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW BUY Frances Tiafoe @ 60¢ $20.0k60% 0xf559…f46245d agocalled
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 79¢ $19.8k79% 0x71ac…d2b140d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $19.6k52% 542hfwo0340d agocalled
US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonMED BUY Ben Shelton @ 42¢ $19.2k42% Naturseee NEW41d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?LOW BUY No @ 38¢ $19.0k38% plonker202641d agomissed
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 63¢ $18.9k63% pilimili44d agocalled
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 78¢ $18.8k78% jaytee15845d agomissed
Cowboys vs. GiantsLOW BUY Giants @ 40¢ $18.8k40% 0x41bb…26e840d agocalled
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 31¢ $18.5k31% thatguythatguy41d agomissed
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ $18.3k95% 0F62 PROVEN46d agocalled
Cowboys vs. GiantsLOW BUY Giants @ 39¢ $16.6k39% 0x16bb…849240d agocalled
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex MichelsenLOW BUY Alex Michelsen @ 42¢ $16.6k42% bettingbettor45d agomissed
US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazLOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 79¢ $16.5k79% mantre46d agomissed
49ers vs. RamsLOW BUY Rams @ 65¢ $16.2k65% JUSTINHERBERTMVP44d agomissed
US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda NoskovaLOW BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 72¢ $16.2k72% 0x075d…58c145d agocalled
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ $15.8k56% Zzzz87 PROVEN44d agocalled
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ $15.6k52% pilimili41d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY No @ 46¢ $15.5k46% x55x46d agomissed
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?LOW BUY No @ 54¢ $15.2k54% Bloodygoodrep147d agomissed
San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsLOW BUY San Francisco Giants @ 41¢ $15.0k41% Zzzz87 PROVEN42d agomissed
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $14.7k86% nigiri99 PROVEN41d agocalled
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW BUY Anyones Legend @ 48¢ $14.4k48% Diabolical-Prize44d agocalled
US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner TienLOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 37¢ $14.1k37% neutralwave23 PROVEN47d agocalled
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 86¢ $13.9k86% Zzzz87 PROVEN41d agocalled
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?LOW BUY No @ 41¢ $13.3k41% portowin44d agomissed
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ $13.0k45% vincentchase1140d agocalled
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsLOW BUY Invictus Gaming @ 52¢ $12.9k52% Zzzz87 PROVEN42d agomissed
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?LOW BUY Yes @ 46¢ $12.9k46% rabbitfoot143d agocalled

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Yesterday's biggest flags and how they graded. Misses included.