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What this means. A wallet put $296.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.4 pts over 33 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$296.4k
BUY Yes @ 95¢ · 312,000 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250kHeavy favorite3 fills in 1hProven wallet11.5× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0F62 took Yes (buy) for $296.4k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $296.4k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 95.0%
- As American odds
- −1900 no vig
- Size
- $296.4k
- Placed
- Sep 09, 13:48 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 09, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0F62
- Tx
- 0xab823cde…
This wallet's graded record
30/33+6.4 pts
expected 27.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsYes price · entry 95¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $15.0k | excluded | |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $285.0k 11.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $18.3k | called | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $25.7k | called |