Bloodygoodrep1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 3 of 4. The prices it paid implied about 1.9 wins, so it did +28.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

+28.0 pts

Called / graded

3/4

Expected from price

1.9

Flagged volume

$483.1k

Sample size4 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±24.7 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$78.9k

Last 30 days +$62.5k · $4.90M volume · 3,883 trades · since Sep 04, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$1.10M

Open P&L · 44 positions

−$1.16M

Closed-position win rate

98%

46 closed

Wallet age · markets

51d

89 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	4	3	1.9	+28.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	LOW BUY Over @ 43¢	$11.5k	43%	11h ago	excluded
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?	LOW BUY Yes @ 37¢	$18.3k	37%	14h ago	called
Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?	MED BUY Yes @ 46¢	$63.6k 2.0× usual	46%	1d ago	called
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	MED BUY No @ 50¢	$205.3k 6.6× usual	50%	10d ago	excluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	MED BUY No @ 43¢	$76.2k 2.4× usual	43%	28d ago	excluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?	LOW BUY Yes @ 43¢	$14.3k	43%	28d ago	missed
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?	LOW BUY No @ 54¢	$15.2k	54%	47d ago	missed
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?	MED BUY No @ 55¢	$47.3k	55%	49d ago	excluded
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?	MED BUY No @ 51¢	$31.2k	51%	49d ago	called

Cagliari Calcio vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5excluded

BUY Over @ 43¢$11.5k

LOW Bloodygoodrep1 · 11h ago

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-10-24?called

BUY Yes @ 37¢$18.3k

LOW Bloodygoodrep1 · 14h ago

Will Torino FC win on 2026-10-23?called

BUY Yes @ 46¢$63.6k

MED Bloodygoodrep1 · 1d ago

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?excluded

BUY No @ 50¢$205.3k

MED Bloodygoodrep1 · 10d ago

Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?excluded

BUY No @ 43¢$76.2k

MED Bloodygoodrep1 · 28d ago

Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?missed

BUY Yes @ 43¢$14.3k

LOW Bloodygoodrep1 · 28d ago

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?missed

BUY No @ 54¢$15.2k

LOW Bloodygoodrep1 · 47d ago

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?excluded

BUY No @ 55¢$47.3k

MED Bloodygoodrep1 · 49d ago

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-05?called

BUY No @ 51¢$31.2k

MED Bloodygoodrep1 · 49d ago

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