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What this means. A wallet put $14.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 43% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?missed
$14.3k
BUY Yes @ 43¢ · 33,329 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports

What happened

Wallet Bloodygoodrep1 took Yes (buy) for $14.3k at an average 43¢. At that price the market implied a 43% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 43¢ means
43%chance the market gave
+133American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
43¢
Implied odds
43.0%
As American odds
+133 no vig
Size
$14.3k
Placed
Sep 26, 10:53 EDT
Market close
Sep 26, 12:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Bloodygoodrep1
Tx
0x90b2f80f…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+16.3 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade -43 pts
Yes price · entry 43¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 43¢ · $14.3k WHALE $14.3K @ 43¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $13.9k0% L31szzE3Afas1sa27d agoexcluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?MED BUY No @ 48¢ $102.8k
2.5× usual
48% 0x2c33…056327d agoexcluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?MED BUY No @ 43¢ $76.2k
2.4× usual
43% Bloodygoodrep127d agoexcluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?HIGH BUY Yes @ 57¢ $904.6k57% 0xe6ca…bff427d agoexcluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY No @ 44¢ $12.1k44% IdentityV27d agoexcluded
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ $12.2k54% 0x2c33…056327d agoexcluded