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What this means. A wallet put $63.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$63.6k
BUY Yes @ 46¢ · 138,208 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1h2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Bloodygoodrep1 took Yes (buy) for $63.6k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $63.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $63.6k
- Placed
- Oct 23, 04:03 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 23, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Bloodygoodrep1
- Tx
- 0x85b5935d…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+28.0 pts
expected 1.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +54 ptsYes price · entry 46¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED BUY No @ 54¢ | $26.4k | excluded |