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What this means. A wallet put $33.9k on Aryna Sabalenka, at a price that gave it a 58% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 19 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.9k
BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 58¢ · 58,500 shares
Size ≥ $10k2.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet one8tyfive took Aryna Sabalenka (buy) for $33.9k at an average 58¢. At that price the market implied a 58% chance for that side. The market resolved Elena Rybakina, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.9k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 58¢ means
58%chance the market gave
−138American odds
$1.00paid per share if Aryna Sabalenka wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 58¢
- Implied odds
- 58.0%
- As American odds
- −138 no vig
- Size
- $33.9k
- Placed
- Sep 12, 14:00 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 12, 16:10 EDT
- Result
- Elena Rybakina
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- one8tyfive
- Tx
- 0xd943f840…
This wallet's graded record
14/19+12.4 pts
expected 11.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -58 ptsAryna Sabalenka price · entry 58¢ · resolved Elena Rybakina
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Elena Rybakina @ 99.9¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW SELL Elena Rybakina @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 98¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 78¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 72¢ | $22.4k | excluded |
| US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | MED BUY Aryna Sabalenka @ 60¢ | $77.5k | excluded |