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What this means. A wallet put $21.8k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -23.0 pts vs the price over 30 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.8k
BUY Yes @ 50¢ · 43,594 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet gransaaa took Yes (buy) for $21.8k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied a 50% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.8k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 50¢
- Implied odds
- 50.0%
- As American odds
- −100 no vig
- Size
- $21.8k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 00:09 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- gransaaa
- Tx
- 0xff7ed641…
This wallet's graded record
8/30-23.0 pts
expected 14.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +50 ptsYes price · entry 50¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.86M | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $19.6k | called |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $36.8k | missed |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $28.6k | called |