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What this means. A wallet put $18.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 18,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet zozo99 took Yes (sell) for $18.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $18.0k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 10:28 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- zozo99
- Tx
- 0xd98e6d1b…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-46.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.86M | excluded | |
| LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $26.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $19.6k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $36.8k | missed | |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $28.6k | called | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $15.6k | called |