0x5169…1842

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.6 wins, so it did -59.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-59.7 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.6

Flagged volume

$19.21M

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.1 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$3.51M

Last 30 days −$1.53M · $28.17M volume · 971 trades · since Sep 08, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

+$3.82M

Open P&L · 1 positions

−$305.0k

Closed-position win rate

86%

7 closed

Wallet age · markets

46d

8 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.6	-59.7 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 60¢	$1.34M	60%	38d ago	missed
Broncos vs. Chiefs	MED SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢	$4.85M 3.6× usual	0%	39d ago	excluded
Broncos vs. Chiefs	HIGH BUY Chiefs @ 55¢	$2.29M	55%	39d ago	called
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.50M	0%	39d ago	excluded
Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 66¢	$887.2k	66%	39d ago	called
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.86M	0%	40d ago	excluded
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢	$448.3k	52%	41d ago	called
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$2.00M	0%	42d ago	excluded
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢	$822.4k	55%	42d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$812.2k	0%	44d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 61¢	$405.4k	61%	44d ago	called
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$1.53M	0%	45d ago	excluded
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?	HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢	$475.7k	55%	45d ago	called

Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15?missed

BUY Yes @ 60¢$1.34M

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 38d ago

Broncos vs. Chiefsexcluded

SELL Chiefs @ 99.9¢$4.85M

MED 0x5169…1842 · 39d ago

Broncos vs. Chiefscalled

BUY Chiefs @ 55¢$2.29M

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 39d ago

Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.50M

MED 0x5169…1842 · 39d ago

Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-14?called

BUY Yes @ 66¢$887.2k

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 39d ago

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.86M

MED 0x5169…1842 · 40d ago

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13?called

BUY Yes @ 52¢$448.3k

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 41d ago

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$2.00M

MED 0x5169…1842 · 42d ago

Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?excluded

BUY Yes @ 55¢$822.4k

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 42d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$812.2k

MED 0x5169…1842 · 44d ago

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?called

BUY Yes @ 61¢$405.4k

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 44d ago

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$1.53M

MED 0x5169…1842 · 45d ago

Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?called

BUY Yes @ 55¢$475.7k

HIGH 0x5169…1842 · 45d ago

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