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What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 46% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$15.5k
BUY No @ 46¢ · 33,758 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet x55x took No (buy) for $15.5k at an average 46¢. At that price the market implied a 46% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 46¢ means
46%chance the market gave
+117American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 46¢
- Implied odds
- 46.0%
- As American odds
- +117 no vig
- Size
- $15.5k
- Placed
- Sep 07, 15:30 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 09, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- x55x
- Tx
- 0xba5e7ecd…
This wallet's graded record
3/5+13.0 pts
expected 2.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -46 ptsNo price · entry 46¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | MED SELL Yes @ 94.7¢ | $46.3k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $812.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | LOW SELL Yes @ 89¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 87¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09? | LOW BUY Yes @ 85¢ | $20.0k | excluded |