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0x41bb…26e8

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +60.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+60.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$31.0k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$7,725
Last 30 days −$1,077 · $1.72M volume · 1,235 trades · since Apr 04, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L · recent 405 closed
+$233.0k
Open P&L · 222 positions
−$238.2k
Closed-position win rate
80%
405 closed
Wallet age · markets
203d
616 markets traded

By category

CategoryGradedCalledExpectedEdge
Sports110.4+60.0 pts

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
Cowboys vs. GiantsLOW BUY Giants @ 40¢ $18.8k40% 40d agocalled
Celtics vs. 76ersLOW BUY Celtics @ 69¢ $12.2k69% 180d agoexcluded

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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x41bb02…