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What this means. A wallet put $22.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 17% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 16 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$22.3k
BUY No @ 17¢ · 131,385 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet jtwyslljy took No (buy) for $22.3k at an average 17¢. At that price the market implied a 17% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $22.3k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 17¢ means
17%chance the market gave
+488American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 17¢
- Implied odds
- 17.0%
- As American odds
- +488 no vig
- Size
- $22.3k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 08:54 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 10:15 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- jtwyslljy
- Tx
- 0x68eea3f8…
This wallet's graded record
9/16+13.8 pts
expected 6.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -17 ptsNo price · entry 17¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.5k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 93.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |