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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -21.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-21.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$514.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±40.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$533.6k
Last 30 days −$46.2k · $15.04M volume · 3,904 trades · since Jun 18, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.15M
Open P&L · 3 positions
−$1,126
Closed-position win rate
39%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
129d
633 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Zizou Bergs @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Karen Khachanov | MED BUY Karen Khachanov @ 21¢ | $66.4k 3.0× usual |
missed |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx | LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 64¢ | $50.8k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
 US Open WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Coco Gauff | LOW BUY Mirra Andreeva @ 47¢ | $22.0k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 23¢ | $11.5k | missed |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | MED BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ | $26.5k | called |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | MED BUY Arthur Gea @ 21¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 99.9¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 52¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 49¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW SELL Karen Khachanov @ 33¢ | $22.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Learner Tien | LOW BUY Karen Khachanov @ 37¢ | $17.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW SELL Botic van de Zandschulp @ 43¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Arthur Gea vs Botic van de Zandschulp | LOW BUY Botic van de Zandschulp @ 46¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 20¢ | $10.1k | missed |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 81¢ | $64.6k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 23¢ | $24.0k | called |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Alexander Blockx @ 61¢ | $33.0k | excluded |
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