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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.4 wins, so it did -14.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-14.3 pts
Called / graded
1/3
Expected from price
1.4
Flagged volume
$1.21M
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$181.7k
Last 30 days +$45.6k · $16.67M volume · 3,340 trades · since Sep 09, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$3.72M
Open P&L · 20 positions
−$3.47M
Closed-position win rate
95%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
45d
41 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 1 | 1.4 | -14.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14? | HIGH BUY No @ 33¢ | $752.1k 6.6× usual |
excluded |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | HIGH BUY No @ 28¢ | $254.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
 Panthers vs. Falcons | LOW BUY Falcons @ 43¢ | $11.7k | missed |
| Panthers vs. Falcons | MED BUY Falcons @ 43¢ | $78.5k | missed |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-09? | MED BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $114.0k | called |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xcbc666…