← Wallets
+$168.4kYes · avg 72¢ → 86¢ · $995.8k · 1 proven with, 0 against+$24.0kYes · avg 39¢ → 44¢ · $181.6k
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.7 wins, so it did -36.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
Yes · Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?
Same side: 1 proven · 0 losing Other side: 0 proven · 0 losing
Price-adjusted edge
-36.0 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.7
Flagged volume
$7.28M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.7 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$301.0k
Last 30 days −$2.50M · $26.91M volume · 828 trades · since Sep 05, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$5.16M
Open P&L · 19 positions
−$5.16M
Closed-position win rate
100%
21 closed
Wallet age · markets
49d
40 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 0 | 0.7 | -36.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 72¢ | $826.5k | pending |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 30¢ | $115.0k | missed |
 Will France win on 2026-09-28? | MED BUY No @ 57¢ | $168.3k | excluded |
| Will France win on 2026-09-28? | HIGH BUY No @ 57¢ | $398.2k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | HIGH BUY No @ 64¢ | $1.43M 3.4× usual |
excluded |
 Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $847.5k | excluded |
 Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $453.1k | excluded |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 81¢ | $2.29M 5.4× usual |
excluded |
 US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | MED BUY Alex Michelsen @ 42¢ | $46.5k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | HIGH BUY Alex Michelsen @ 42¢ | $288.7k | missed |
 Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-06? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $424.6k | excluded |
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