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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.9 wins, so it did +6.1 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+6.1 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
0.9
Flagged volume
$174.6k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.8 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$46.8k
Last 30 days +$0 · $1.66M volume · 1,129 trades · since Sep 03, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$29.6k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$71.8k
Closed-position win rate
64%
25 closed
Wallet age · markets
51d
28 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 0.9 | +6.1 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | LOW BUY MIBR @ 50¢ | $23.2k | called |
 US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW SELL Alexander Blockx @ 99.9¢ | $23.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Alexander Blockx @ 47¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW SELL Francisco Cerundolo @ 58¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx | LOW BUY Francisco Cerundolo @ 68¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Spirit @ 56¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | LOW BUY MOUZ @ 38¢ | $24.8k | missed |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | LOW SELL Spirit @ 99.9¢ | $18.1k | excluded |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner | LOW BUY Spirit @ 63¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
 LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | LOW BUY Dplus KIA @ 54¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x90aa1d…