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What this means. A wallet put $24.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.3 pts over 55 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$24.7k
BUY No @ 48¢ · 51,527 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took No (buy) for $24.7k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $24.7k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $24.7k
- Placed
- Sep 11, 00:31 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 09:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xaf9700c2…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-3.3 pts
expected 29.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsNo price · entry 48¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.86M | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.0k | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY No @ 49¢ | $26.1k | excluded |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $19.6k | called |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $36.8k | missed |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-13? | MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $28.6k | called |