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What this means. A wallet put $13.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 86% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+0.2 pts over 60 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.9k
BUY Yes @ 86¢ · 16,210 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet Zzzz87 took Yes (buy) for $13.9k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 86% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.9k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 86¢ means
86%chance the market gave
−614American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 86¢
- Implied odds
- 86.0%
- As American odds
- −614 no vig
- Size
- $13.9k
- Placed
- Sep 13, 00:49 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 13, 10:15 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Zzzz87
- Tx
- 0xd6f908d1…
This wallet's graded record
36/60+0.2 pts
expected 35.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +14 ptsYes price · entry 86¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $118.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.5k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 3.3× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 93.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.0k | excluded |