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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did +57.0 pts better than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+57.0 pts
Called / graded
1/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$264.8k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.5 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$21.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $2.18M volume · 1,450 trades · since Jun 30, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$501.7k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$470.7k
Closed-position win rate
86%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
116d
13 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | +57.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Elena Rybakina @ 43¢ | $41.0k | called | |
| MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $110.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY No @ 48¢ | $101.9k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Argentina @ 30¢ | $11.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x384b62…