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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -11.4 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-11.4 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$56.9k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±34.4 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$43.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $717.5k volume · 114 trades · since Dec 19, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$86.1k
Open P&L · 6 positions
−$41.8k
Closed-position win rate
100%
4 closed
Wallet age · markets
309d
10 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 2 | 1 | 1.2 | -11.4 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton | LOW BUY Alexander Zverev @ 59¢ | $41.0k | called |
 Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $15.9k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x5eca8a…