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What this means. A wallet put $16.5k on Carlos Alcaraz, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$16.5k
BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 79¢ · 20,900 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet mantre took Carlos Alcaraz (buy) for $16.5k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Ben Shelton, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $16.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Carlos Alcaraz wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.0%
- As American odds
- −376 no vig
- Size
- $16.5k
- Placed
- Sep 08, 03:12 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Ben Shelton
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mantre
- Tx
- 0xee3a277a…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-79.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -79 ptsCarlos Alcaraz price · entry 79¢ · resolved Ben Shelton
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $21.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 45¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 63¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 59¢ | $13.2k | excluded |