← Wallets
−$2,690No · avg 83¢ → 76¢ · $30.7k+$1,767Yes · avg 12¢ → 14¢ · $22.5k+$476Yes · avg 2.1¢ → 4.5¢ · $900+$40Yes · avg 2.1¢ → 2.4¢ · $409+$31No · avg 29¢ → 32¢ · $396
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 5 of 9. The prices it paid implied about 5.4 wins, so it did -4.3 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-4.3 pts
Called / graded
5/9
Expected from price
5.4
Flagged volume
$371.7k
Sample size9 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±14.8 pts std. error.
Graded P&L at their stakes
+$70k9 graded bets in the order they resolved · 5 won. Each step is one bet: win pays (1−price)/price × stake, loss costs the stake.
Past graded bets, not a prediction. Information, not advice.
Without their best bet
Leave out the single bet that helped most (France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 at 51¢) and the edge is -11.0 pts. If that falls apart, one bet made the record.
Calibration: won vs price paid
0–20¢
0% vs 19% · n=1
40–60¢
80% vs 55% · n=5
60–80¢
100% vs 62% · n=1
80–100¢
0% vs 91% · n=2
Bar = how often they won. White tick = what the price implied.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$327.4k
Last 30 days −$19.9k · $14.06M volume · 16,122 trades · since Jun 11, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 430 closed
+$343.8k
Open P&L · 7 positions
−$15.3k
Closed-position win rate
49%
430 closed
Wallet age · markets
135d
379 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 9 | 5 | 5.4 | -4.3 pts |
History
Share this record
<a href="https://whalegrader.com/wallet/0xf7429705e25b619338412967f0a70260b6e1e039"><img src="https://whalegrader.com/badge/wallet/0xf7429705e25b619338412967f0a70260b6e1e039.svg" alt="WhaleGrader record"></a>
JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf74297…