← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $21.2k on not Ben Shelton, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.2k
SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ · 21,172 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet NiNo999 took Ben Shelton (sell) for $21.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Ben Shelton. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $21.2k
- Placed
- Sep 09, 03:44 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 08, 23:00 EDT
- Result
- Ben Shelton
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- NiNo999
- Tx
- 0xcccafe9a…
This wallet's graded record
0/8-53.6 pts
expected 4.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Ben Shelton @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 89¢ | $13.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Ben Shelton @ 45¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 63¢ | $11.3k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW SELL Carlos Alcaraz @ 59¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz | LOW BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 68¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
Same game on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same game. Kalshi's trade tape has no account id. A public nickname shows on the Kalshi flag when the social feed names that side.
| YES Carlos Alcaraz | $15.6k | 78¢ | 46d ago |