Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | $6.56M 81 flags |
$482.4k 3 wallets |
$75.6k 2 wallets |
| No | $4.29M 22 flags |
$447.0k 2 wallets |
none |
| Not Yes | $1.16M 27 flags |
none | $56.5k 1 wallet |
| Not No | $476.7k 4 flags |
none | none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.9k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $54.9k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $92.2k 4.6× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $153.1k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.7k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $22.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $174.8k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $18.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $10.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k | excluded |
| HIGH SELL Yes @ 91.8¢ | $125.7k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $183.4k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ | $46.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $11.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 79¢ | $137.0k 5.2× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $38.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 98.9¢ | $26.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $111.1k 3.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $24.1k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 98¢ | $10.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99¢ | $24.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 66¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 25¢ | $195.6k 4.7× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH SELL No @ 25¢ | $343.5k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 74¢ | $11.1k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 73¢ | $56.5k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 43¢ | $72.8k | excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $13.2k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 68¢ | $39.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 47¢ | $203.8k 7.7× usual |
excluded |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 33¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $36.3k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 34¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 65¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 35¢ | $10.5k | excluded |
| LOW SELL No @ 65¢ | $11.5k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 64¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 62¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 39¢ | $1.13M 27.0× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 62¢ | $795.7k 5.3× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 58¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| MED SELL Yes @ 43¢ | $137.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 44¢ | $17.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 53¢ | $14.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $113.1k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 51¢ | $12.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $21.3k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $84.4k | excluded |
| MED SELL No @ 47¢ | $106.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $29.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $1.32M 8.9× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $23.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $299.4k 7.4× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $49.2k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $100.0k 3.0× usual |
excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $48.8k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $48.9k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| HIGH BUY No @ 47¢ | $930.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $104.1k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $10.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $25.6k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $32.9k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $19.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $20.5k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $15.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $11.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $166.2k 4.0× usual |
missed |
| HIGH BUY No @ 45¢ | $1.40M | missed |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $759.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $12.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $11.0k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 45¢ | $110.2k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 45¢ | $13.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $74.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $56.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 57¢ | $11.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $56.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $48.5k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $98.0k 2.5× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 56¢ | $17.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $17.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $56.3k 2.7× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $16.9k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $30.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $15.4k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $16.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $80.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 54¢ | $24.6k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $71.2k | called |
| MED BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $50.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $29.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $13.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $30.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $13.1k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $30.5k 2.2× usual |
called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $51.2k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $52.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.9k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $20.8k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $10.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $24.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 52¢ | $20.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $13.2k | called |
| HIGH BUY No @ 47¢ | $218.7k 10.4× usual |
missed |
| MED BUY No @ 46¢ | $36.4k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $33.0k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 45¢ | $24.5k | missed |
| MED BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $77.7k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $11.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $15.0k | called |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $10.2k | called |
| MED BUY No @ 47¢ | $26.0k | missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $13.3k | called |
| LOW BUY No @ 47¢ | $11.2k | missed |
| HIGH BUY No @ 46¢ | $164.7k 7.8× usual |
missed |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 55¢ | $18.1k | called |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 134 whale trades on this market totalling $12.49M from 91 wallets. The largest was $1.40M (buy No at 45¢). Most whale money ($6.56M) went to Yes. 85 of 134 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, skk1ch ($2.60M), has called 1 of 1 graded flags overall (+54.0 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (fifwc-can-mar-2026-07-04-mar).