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What this means. A wallet put $29.1k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?excluded
$29.1k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 55,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet northerndancer took Yes (buy) for $29.1k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $29.1k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
53¢
Implied odds
53.0%
As American odds
−113 no vig
Size
$29.1k
Placed
Jul 04, 12:57 EDT
Market close
Jul 04, 13:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
northerndancer
Tx
0x2d48ab21…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+29.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +47 pts
Yes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 53¢ · $29.1k WHALE $29.1K @ 53¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $18.9k0% LinkE5111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $54.9k
2.6× usual
0% Ma999111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $92.2k
4.6× usual
0% HectorHuang111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $153.1k
3.1× usual
0% Hugewinner111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.7k0% crappy111d agoexcluded
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $22.6k0% gshan111d agoexcluded